Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed ceasefire framework established after the October 2025 truce. Defense Minister Israel Katz and Southern Command leaders have stated that the IDF maintains operational plans, including advances into Gaza City, while expanding control along the Yellow Line to over 60 percent of the territory and conducting frequent targeted strikes against Hamas commanders and infrastructure. Stalled Phase Two talks, Hamas’s reported rebuilding of military capabilities, and repeated ceasefire violations have kept the military on high alert. Israeli elections scheduled for late October and potential U.S. diplomatic signals remain key variables that could influence timing or escalation decisions before any market resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$758,654 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
9%
$758,654 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$109,023 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed ceasefire framework established after the October 2025 truce. Defense Minister Israel Katz and Southern Command leaders have stated that the IDF maintains operational plans, including advances into Gaza City, while expanding control along the Yellow Line to over 60 percent of the territory and conducting frequent targeted strikes against Hamas commanders and infrastructure. Stalled Phase Two talks, Hamas’s reported rebuilding of military capabilities, and repeated ceasefire violations have kept the military on high alert. Israeli elections scheduled for late October and potential U.S. diplomatic signals remain key variables that could influence timing or escalation decisions before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$758,654Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed ceasefire framework established after the October 2025 truce. Defense Minister Israel Katz and Southern Command leaders have stated that the IDF maintains operational plans, including advances into Gaza City, while expanding control along the Yellow Line to over 60 percent of the territory and conducting frequent targeted strikes against Hamas commanders and infrastructure. Stalled Phase Two talks, Hamas’s reported rebuilding of military capabilities, and repeated ceasefire violations have kept the military on high alert. Israeli elections scheduled for late October and potential U.S. diplomatic signals remain key variables that could influence timing or escalation decisions before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$758,654Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed ceasefire framework established after the October 2025 truce. Defense Minister Israel Katz and Southern Command leaders have stated that the IDF maintains operational plans, including advances into Gaza City, while expanding control along the Yellow Line to over 60 percent of the territory and conducting frequent targeted strikes against Hamas commanders and infrastructure. Stalled Phase Two talks, Hamas’s reported rebuilding of military capabilities, and repeated ceasefire violations have kept the military on high alert. Israeli elections scheduled for late October and potential U.S. diplomatic signals remain key variables that could influence timing or escalation decisions before any market resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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