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icon for Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?

Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?

icon for Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?

Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?

6-7% 43%

7-8% 22%

5-6% 20%

<5% 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

6-7% 43%

7-8% 22%

5-6% 20%

<5% 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5%

$942 Vol.

20%

5-6%

$139 Vol.

20%

6-7%

$243 Vol.

51%

7-8%

$158 Vol.

22%

8%+

$67 Vol.

9%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yisrael Beiteinu's positioning in recent Israeli polls reflects steady but limited support near the 6-8% range, driven by Avigdor Lieberman's consistent emphasis on security policy, mandatory conscription for all sectors, and explicit rejection of future coalitions with Benjamin Netanyahu. The party's candidate list, unveiled in early September with a bereaved father in the second slot, has highlighted personal ties to the October 7 attacks while targeting its core Russian-speaking and secular right-wing voters. Recent polling averages place the party at roughly seven to nine seats, fluctuating with minor shifts in turnout projections and competition from other right-leaning lists such as Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. Surplus-vote agreements, including one with Naftali Bennett's Together party, and Lieberman's public statements on responses to ongoing security incidents have reinforced the party's distinct identity without producing major gains. The narrow spread across vote-share buckets stems from this stable but contained base amid a fragmented opposition and tight national contest only weeks before the October 27 election.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,549
Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yisrael Beiteinu's positioning in recent Israeli polls reflects steady but limited support near the 6-8% range, driven by Avigdor Lieberman's consistent emphasis on security policy, mandatory conscription for all sectors, and explicit rejection of future coalitions with Benjamin Netanyahu. The party's candidate list, unveiled in early September with a bereaved father in the second slot, has highlighted personal ties to the October 7 attacks while targeting its core Russian-speaking and secular right-wing voters. Recent polling averages place the party at roughly seven to nine seats, fluctuating with minor shifts in turnout projections and competition from other right-leaning lists such as Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. Surplus-vote agreements, including one with Naftali Bennett's Together party, and Lieberman's public statements on responses to ongoing security incidents have reinforced the party's distinct identity without producing major gains. The narrow spread across vote-share buckets stems from this stable but contained base amid a fragmented opposition and tight national contest only weeks before the October 27 election.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,549
Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "6-7%" con 51%, seguido de "7-8%" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?" es "6-7%" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "7-8%" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones en Israel: ¿Yisrael Beiteinu voto compartido?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.