Yisrael Beiteinu's positioning in recent Israeli polls reflects steady but limited support near the 6-8% range, driven by Avigdor Lieberman's consistent emphasis on security policy, mandatory conscription for all sectors, and explicit rejection of future coalitions with Benjamin Netanyahu. The party's candidate list, unveiled in early September with a bereaved father in the second slot, has highlighted personal ties to the October 7 attacks while targeting its core Russian-speaking and secular right-wing voters. Recent polling averages place the party at roughly seven to nine seats, fluctuating with minor shifts in turnout projections and competition from other right-leaning lists such as Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. Surplus-vote agreements, including one with Naftali Bennett's Together party, and Lieberman's public statements on responses to ongoing security incidents have reinforced the party's distinct identity without producing major gains. The narrow spread across vote-share buckets stems from this stable but contained base amid a fragmented opposition and tight national contest only weeks before the October 27 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado6-7% 43%
7-8% 22%
5-6% 20%
<5% 14%
<5%
20%
5-6%
20%
6-7%
51%
7-8%
22%
8%+
9%
6-7% 43%
7-8% 22%
5-6% 20%
<5% 14%
<5%
20%
5-6%
20%
6-7%
51%
7-8%
22%
8%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yisrael Beiteinu's positioning in recent Israeli polls reflects steady but limited support near the 6-8% range, driven by Avigdor Lieberman's consistent emphasis on security policy, mandatory conscription for all sectors, and explicit rejection of future coalitions with Benjamin Netanyahu. The party's candidate list, unveiled in early September with a bereaved father in the second slot, has highlighted personal ties to the October 7 attacks while targeting its core Russian-speaking and secular right-wing voters. Recent polling averages place the party at roughly seven to nine seats, fluctuating with minor shifts in turnout projections and competition from other right-leaning lists such as Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. Surplus-vote agreements, including one with Naftali Bennett's Together party, and Lieberman's public statements on responses to ongoing security incidents have reinforced the party's distinct identity without producing major gains. The narrow spread across vote-share buckets stems from this stable but contained base amid a fragmented opposition and tight national contest only weeks before the October 27 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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