Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ed Markey holds a dominant position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after securing his party's nomination with roughly 65% of the primary vote against Rep. Seth Moulton on September 1. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Polling averages show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with historical patterns for Senate contests in the commonwealth. Deaton, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Sen. Elizabeth Warren, emphasizes a moderate profile and debate-focused campaign but faces structural headwinds. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could narrow the gap, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ed Markey holds a dominant position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after securing his party's nomination with roughly 65% of the primary vote against Rep. Seth Moulton on September 1. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Polling averages show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with historical patterns for Senate contests in the commonwealth. Deaton, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Sen. Elizabeth Warren, emphasizes a moderate profile and debate-focused campaign but faces structural headwinds. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could narrow the gap, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$48,024Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ed Markey holds a dominant position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after securing his party's nomination with roughly 65% of the primary vote against Rep. Seth Moulton on September 1. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Polling averages show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with historical patterns for Senate contests in the commonwealth. Deaton, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Sen. Elizabeth Warren, emphasizes a moderate profile and debate-focused campaign but faces structural headwinds. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could narrow the gap, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$48,024Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ed Markey holds a dominant position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after securing his party's nomination with roughly 65% of the primary vote against Rep. Seth Moulton on September 1. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Polling averages show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with historical patterns for Senate contests in the commonwealth. Deaton, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Sen. Elizabeth Warren, emphasizes a moderate profile and debate-focused campaign but faces structural headwinds. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could narrow the gap, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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