Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried it by 16 points in 2024. As the incumbent seeking a second term, Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August 4 primary. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic field but remains a long-shot challenger in a contest rated Likely or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead, and a September 12 debate highlighted differences on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies without shifting the broader outlook. A cross-party endorsement for Hamilton has not altered the trader consensus favoring the Republican incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
$50,858 Vol.
$50,858 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
22%
$50,858 Vol.
$50,858 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$32,866 Vol.
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$17,992 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried it by 16 points in 2024. As the incumbent seeking a second term, Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August 4 primary. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic field but remains a long-shot challenger in a contest rated Likely or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead, and a September 12 debate highlighted differences on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies without shifting the broader outlook. A cross-party endorsement for Hamilton has not altered the trader consensus favoring the Republican incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volumen
$50,858Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried it by 16 points in 2024. As the incumbent seeking a second term, Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August 4 primary. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic field but remains a long-shot challenger in a contest rated Likely or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead, and a September 12 debate highlighted differences on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies without shifting the broader outlook. A cross-party endorsement for Hamilton has not altered the trader consensus favoring the Republican incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$50,858Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried it by 16 points in 2024. As the incumbent seeking a second term, Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August 4 primary. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic field but remains a long-shot challenger in a contest rated Likely or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead, and a September 12 debate highlighted differences on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies without shifting the broader outlook. A cross-party endorsement for Hamilton has not altered the trader consensus favoring the Republican incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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