**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 14 de septiembre?
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 Vol.
$747 Vol.
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 Vol.
$747 Vol.
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes