Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Tel Aviv on September 21, reflecting latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing peak afternoon temperatures of 29–31°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds. Stable high pressure and typical late-September insolation support efficient daytime heating, with dew points near 19–20°C limiting excessive humidity. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and minor model spread around the 30–31°C threshold explains the tight clustering of market odds between those two outcomes. No significant synoptic changes are indicated in the next 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 21 de septiembre?
31°C 56%
30°C 30%
32°C 9.5%
27°C o menos 3.0%
NUEVO
$38,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,222 Vol.
21 sep 2026
27°C o menos
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
30%
31°C
56%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 30%
32°C 9.5%
27°C o menos 3.0%
NUEVO
$38,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,222 Vol.
21 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$6,430 Vol.
3%
28°C
$3,366 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,905 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7,699 Vol.
30%
31°C
$7,629 Vol.
56%
32°C
$4,517 Vol.
10%
33°C
$2,448 Vol.
2%
34°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Tel Aviv on September 21, reflecting latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing peak afternoon temperatures of 29–31°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds. Stable high pressure and typical late-September insolation support efficient daytime heating, with dew points near 19–20°C limiting excessive humidity. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and minor model spread around the 30–31°C threshold explains the tight clustering of market odds between those two outcomes. No significant synoptic changes are indicated in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$38,222Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Tel Aviv on September 21, reflecting latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing peak afternoon temperatures of 29–31°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds. Stable high pressure and typical late-September insolation support efficient daytime heating, with dew points near 19–20°C limiting excessive humidity. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and minor model spread around the 30–31°C threshold explains the tight clustering of market odds between those two outcomes. No significant synoptic changes are indicated in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,222Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Tel Aviv on September 21, reflecting latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing peak afternoon temperatures of 29–31°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds. Stable high pressure and typical late-September insolation support efficient daytime heating, with dew points near 19–20°C limiting excessive humidity. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and minor model spread around the 30–31°C threshold explains the tight clustering of market odds between those two outcomes. No significant synoptic changes are indicated in the next 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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