**Recent National Weather Service forecasts position overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for Houston’s September 11 minimum temperature.** Persistent tropical moisture and light southeast winds maintain high dew points near 75–77°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping nighttime temperatures elevated. Model consensus from NWS and other sources shows Friday night lows around 78–80°F after daytime highs near 92°F, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms add minor variability but do not alter the warm overnight pattern. With no approaching cold fronts or significant steering changes expected before resolution, the 76–79°F bins capture the highest implied probabilities, reflecting the strong scientific consensus on these stable conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 11 de septiembre?
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 37%
69°F o menos 30%
88°F o más 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
69°F o menos
30%
70-71 °F
19%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88°F o más
28%
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 37%
69°F o menos 30%
88°F o más 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$0 Vol.
30%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$31 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$39 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$48 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
19%
88°F o más
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts position overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for Houston’s September 11 minimum temperature.** Persistent tropical moisture and light southeast winds maintain high dew points near 75–77°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping nighttime temperatures elevated. Model consensus from NWS and other sources shows Friday night lows around 78–80°F after daytime highs near 92°F, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms add minor variability but do not alter the warm overnight pattern. With no approaching cold fronts or significant steering changes expected before resolution, the 76–79°F bins capture the highest implied probabilities, reflecting the strong scientific consensus on these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$118Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts position overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for Houston’s September 11 minimum temperature.** Persistent tropical moisture and light southeast winds maintain high dew points near 75–77°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping nighttime temperatures elevated. Model consensus from NWS and other sources shows Friday night lows around 78–80°F after daytime highs near 92°F, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms add minor variability but do not alter the warm overnight pattern. With no approaching cold fronts or significant steering changes expected before resolution, the 76–79°F bins capture the highest implied probabilities, reflecting the strong scientific consensus on these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$118Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service forecasts position overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for Houston’s September 11 minimum temperature.** Persistent tropical moisture and light southeast winds maintain high dew points near 75–77°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping nighttime temperatures elevated. Model consensus from NWS and other sources shows Friday night lows around 78–80°F after daytime highs near 92°F, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms add minor variability but do not alter the warm overnight pattern. With no approaching cold fronts or significant steering changes expected before resolution, the 76–79°F bins capture the highest implied probabilities, reflecting the strong scientific consensus on these stable conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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