Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight low on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C amid high relative humidity above 75 percent, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where typical minimums range 26–27°C under similar subtropical conditions. The overwhelming 96.5 percent market-implied odds for 27°C reflect this consensus, with only slim probabilities assigned to deviations. A sudden influx of drier air or enhanced rainfall could enhance cooling and push readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger southerly flow might hold temperatures above 28°C. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de septiembre?
27°C 97%
25°C 4%
22°C o menos 2%
24°C 2%
$13,239 Vol.
$13,239 Vol.
21 sep 2026
22°C o menos
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 97%
25°C 4%
22°C o menos 2%
24°C 2%
$13,239 Vol.
$13,239 Vol.
21 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$560 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,348 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,808 Vol.
97%
28°C
$4,427 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight low on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C amid high relative humidity above 75 percent, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where typical minimums range 26–27°C under similar subtropical conditions. The overwhelming 96.5 percent market-implied odds for 27°C reflect this consensus, with only slim probabilities assigned to deviations. A sudden influx of drier air or enhanced rainfall could enhance cooling and push readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger southerly flow might hold temperatures above 28°C. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,239Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight low on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C amid high relative humidity above 75 percent, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where typical minimums range 26–27°C under similar subtropical conditions. The overwhelming 96.5 percent market-implied odds for 27°C reflect this consensus, with only slim probabilities assigned to deviations. A sudden influx of drier air or enhanced rainfall could enhance cooling and push readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger southerly flow might hold temperatures above 28°C. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,239Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight low on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C amid high relative humidity above 75 percent, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where typical minimums range 26–27°C under similar subtropical conditions. The overwhelming 96.5 percent market-implied odds for 27°C reflect this consensus, with only slim probabilities assigned to deviations. A sudden influx of drier air or enhanced rainfall could enhance cooling and push readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger southerly flow might hold temperatures above 28°C. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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