Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 will likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible in the afternoon and southerly to southwesterly winds around 10 mph. This aligns with climatological norms near 18°C for the date but reflects a mild pattern without strong high pressure or clear skies to push readings higher. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 55.5% implied probability and 20°C at 22.5%, incorporates slight upside from some model runs showing afternoon peaks near 20–21°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted given stable short-range guidance. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 23 de septiembre?
21°C 54%
20°C 23%
19°C 15%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
23%
21°C
54%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
1%
21°C 54%
20°C 23%
19°C 15%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$622 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$221 Vol.
1%
18°C
$258 Vol.
3%
19°C
$390 Vol.
15%
20°C
$501 Vol.
23%
21°C
$952 Vol.
54%
22°C
$283 Vol.
7%
23°C
$8 Vol.
2%
24°C o más
$141 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 will likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible in the afternoon and southerly to southwesterly winds around 10 mph. This aligns with climatological norms near 18°C for the date but reflects a mild pattern without strong high pressure or clear skies to push readings higher. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 55.5% implied probability and 20°C at 22.5%, incorporates slight upside from some model runs showing afternoon peaks near 20–21°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted given stable short-range guidance. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,441Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 will likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible in the afternoon and southerly to southwesterly winds around 10 mph. This aligns with climatological norms near 18°C for the date but reflects a mild pattern without strong high pressure or clear skies to push readings higher. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 55.5% implied probability and 20°C at 22.5%, incorporates slight upside from some model runs showing afternoon peaks near 20–21°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted given stable short-range guidance. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,441Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 will likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible in the afternoon and southerly to southwesterly winds around 10 mph. This aligns with climatological norms near 18°C for the date but reflects a mild pattern without strong high pressure or clear skies to push readings higher. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 55.5% implied probability and 20°C at 22.5%, incorporates slight upside from some model runs showing afternoon peaks near 20–21°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted given stable short-range guidance. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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