**Trader sentiment centers on a tight contest between 20°C and 21°C lows for Chengdu on September 21, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity near 80-95%.** These conditions suppress radiative heat loss, while any late-day showers or lingering moisture from the weakening monsoon pattern further moderates temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and local meteorological services consistently project nighttime minima around 20-21°C, aligning with September climatology where average lows hover near 19-21°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with lower outcomes (≤19°C) discounted absent stronger cold advection or clearer skies. Hourly updates through the night will determine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 21 de septiembre?
16°C o menos 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 90%
16°C o menos
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
16°C o menos 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 90%
16°C o menos
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on a tight contest between 20°C and 21°C lows for Chengdu on September 21, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity near 80-95%.** These conditions suppress radiative heat loss, while any late-day showers or lingering moisture from the weakening monsoon pattern further moderates temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and local meteorological services consistently project nighttime minima around 20-21°C, aligning with September climatology where average lows hover near 19-21°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with lower outcomes (≤19°C) discounted absent stronger cold advection or clearer skies. Hourly updates through the night will determine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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