President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, controlling 161 of 300 seats against the main opposition’s 110. This arithmetic blocks any impeachment motion, which requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes to pass the legislature before reaching the Constitutional Court. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but advanced no further, as expected under the current seat distribution. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and appointments, yet these pressures have not altered the parliamentary balance or produced new legislative initiatives capable of overcoming the threshold. Trials against him remain suspended, and recent statements on constitutional reform explicitly separate the issue from any personal extension of power.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
Sí
6% probabilidad
$21,783 Vol.
$21,783 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
$21,783 Vol.
$21,783 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, controlling 161 of 300 seats against the main opposition’s 110. This arithmetic blocks any impeachment motion, which requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes to pass the legislature before reaching the Constitutional Court. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but advanced no further, as expected under the current seat distribution. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and appointments, yet these pressures have not altered the parliamentary balance or produced new legislative initiatives capable of overcoming the threshold. Trials against him remain suspended, and recent statements on constitutional reform explicitly separate the issue from any personal extension of power.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$21,783Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, controlling 161 of 300 seats against the main opposition’s 110. This arithmetic blocks any impeachment motion, which requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes to pass the legislature before reaching the Constitutional Court. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but advanced no further, as expected under the current seat distribution. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and appointments, yet these pressures have not altered the parliamentary balance or produced new legislative initiatives capable of overcoming the threshold. Trials against him remain suspended, and recent statements on constitutional reform explicitly separate the issue from any personal extension of power.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$21,793Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, controlling 161 of 300 seats against the main opposition’s 110. This arithmetic blocks any impeachment motion, which requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes to pass the legislature before reaching the Constitutional Court. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but advanced no further, as expected under the current seat distribution. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of real estate policy and appointments, yet these pressures have not altered the parliamentary balance or produced new legislative initiatives capable of overcoming the threshold. Trials against him remain suspended, and recent statements on constitutional reform explicitly separate the issue from any personal extension of power.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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