Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,359,010 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volumen
$1,359,010Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$1,359,010Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes