Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions over Shenzhen on September 11, with daytime highs centered near 31–32°C under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h and humidity of 65–75%. Recent days featured scattered thunderstorms that limited peaks to 31–32°C, and similar moisture patterns plus variable cloud cover on the 11th create the main uncertainty between those two thresholds. Greater afternoon insolation under clearing skies could push readings to 32°C, while thicker cloud decks or brief showers would favor 31°C by reducing surface heating. Official station measurements will resolve the market, with traders weighting the narrow spread according to the latest model consensus on cloud timing and any last-minute convective development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 11 de septiembre?
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
45%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C o más
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
45%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions over Shenzhen on September 11, with daytime highs centered near 31–32°C under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h and humidity of 65–75%. Recent days featured scattered thunderstorms that limited peaks to 31–32°C, and similar moisture patterns plus variable cloud cover on the 11th create the main uncertainty between those two thresholds. Greater afternoon insolation under clearing skies could push readings to 32°C, while thicker cloud decks or brief showers would favor 31°C by reducing surface heating. Official station measurements will resolve the market, with traders weighting the narrow spread according to the latest model consensus on cloud timing and any last-minute convective development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes