Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 10 de septiembre?
34°C 100.0%
27°C o menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
10 sep 2026
27°C o menos
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sí
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C o más
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C o menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
10 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$500 Vol.
No
28°C
$215 Vol.
No
29°C
$555 Vol.
No
30°C
$726 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,973 Vol.
No
33°C
$21,003 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,599 Vol.
Sí
35°C
$2,104 Vol.
No
36°C
$608 Vol.
No
37°C o más
$217 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$42,600Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,600Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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