The contest for second place in Ceará's October 4 Senate election stays tight because recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec place Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner within the margin of error behind frontrunner Cid Gomes, with both drawing 13-24% in consolidated two-vote scenarios. Luizianne's early-August confirmation on the Elmano de Freitas ticket alongside Cid has consolidated left-leaning support within the Ceará Forte coalition, while Wagner draws opposition and conservative voters through the União Brasil slate. High undecided shares (often 10-20%) and voters' ability to split tickets between the two vacancies sustain the narrow gap, with Alcides Fernandes and minor candidates far behind. Late shifts in turnout among swing municipalities or coalition messaging could separate the top contenders before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCapitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 5.3%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.
Capitão Wagner
36%
Luizianne
40%
Cid Gomes
22%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 5.3%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.
Capitão Wagner
36%
Luizianne
40%
Cid Gomes
22%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The contest for second place in Ceará's October 4 Senate election stays tight because recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec place Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner within the margin of error behind frontrunner Cid Gomes, with both drawing 13-24% in consolidated two-vote scenarios. Luizianne's early-August confirmation on the Elmano de Freitas ticket alongside Cid has consolidated left-leaning support within the Ceará Forte coalition, while Wagner draws opposition and conservative voters through the União Brasil slate. High undecided shares (often 10-20%) and voters' ability to split tickets between the two vacancies sustain the narrow gap, with Alcides Fernandes and minor candidates far behind. Late shifts in turnout among swing municipalities or coalition messaging could separate the top contenders before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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