**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.** Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid. Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGaguim 46.8%
Alexandre Guimarães 40%
Eduardo Gomes 8.9%
Osvany Luz <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
Gaguim
47%
Alexandre Guimarães
40%
Eduardo Gomes
14%
Osvany Luz
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Profesor Osvaldo
<1%
Gaguim 46.8%
Alexandre Guimarães 40%
Eduardo Gomes 8.9%
Osvany Luz <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
Gaguim
47%
Alexandre Guimarães
40%
Eduardo Gomes
14%
Osvany Luz
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Profesor Osvaldo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.** Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid. Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
¿Obtendrá Leila do Vôlei la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal en 2026?
¿Carlos Bolsonaro obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Santa Catarina en 2026?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes