Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 Vol.
$23,167 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cid Gomes
77%
Capitão Wagner
13%
Luizianne
6%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 Vol.
$23,167 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,438 Vol.
77%
Capitão Wagner
$2,701 Vol.
13%
Luizianne
$1,258 Vol.
6%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 Vol.
1%
Lino Alves
$840 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$23,167Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$23,167Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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