**Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a 60% implied probability lead in the Mato Grosso governor race, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, with other candidates such as Doutora Natasha (PSD) and minor contenders trailing far behind.** The contest centers on two right-leaning figures in a state dominated by agribusiness interests, where Fagundes draws strength from his Senate record, PL party machinery, and support in northern and interior regions. Pivetta, who assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes’s departure, has gained ground in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey (September 6–8), reaching 40.8% to Fagundes’s 30% in a stimulated first-round scenario and leading head-to-head 47.2%–38.3%. Earlier polls showed tighter or reversed margins, highlighting volatility amid roughly 50% undecided or blank voters. Fagundes’s higher rejection rates and Pivetta’s approval of his administration remain key variables one month before the October vote, with regional alliances, security, and fiscal policy stances likely to influence final turnout and swing blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWellington Fagundes 61%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$25,338 Vol.
$25,338 Vol.
Wellington Fagundes
61%
Otaviano Pivetta
38%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Doctora Natasha
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Wellington Fagundes 61%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$25,338 Vol.
$25,338 Vol.
Wellington Fagundes
61%
Otaviano Pivetta
38%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Doctora Natasha
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a 60% implied probability lead in the Mato Grosso governor race, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, with other candidates such as Doutora Natasha (PSD) and minor contenders trailing far behind.** The contest centers on two right-leaning figures in a state dominated by agribusiness interests, where Fagundes draws strength from his Senate record, PL party machinery, and support in northern and interior regions. Pivetta, who assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes’s departure, has gained ground in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey (September 6–8), reaching 40.8% to Fagundes’s 30% in a stimulated first-round scenario and leading head-to-head 47.2%–38.3%. Earlier polls showed tighter or reversed margins, highlighting volatility amid roughly 50% undecided or blank voters. Fagundes’s higher rejection rates and Pivetta’s approval of his administration remain key variables one month before the October vote, with regional alliances, security, and fiscal policy stances likely to influence final turnout and swing blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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