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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco

Lula 97.4%

Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%

Zema <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$10,325 Vol.

Lula 97.4%

Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%

Zema <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$10,325 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$6,107 Vol.

97%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$402 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$334 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$301 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$300 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$10,325
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$10,325
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 97%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" ha generado $10.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" es "Lula" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.