**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDelegado André David 43%
André Moura 35.4%
Rogerio Carvalho 15.0%
Iran Barbosa 2.9%
$31,765 Vol.
$31,765 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Delegado André David
43%
André Moura
35%
Rogerio Carvalho
15%
Iran Barbosa
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Delegado Alessandro
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Delegado André David 43%
André Moura 35.4%
Rogerio Carvalho 15.0%
Iran Barbosa 2.9%
$31,765 Vol.
$31,765 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Delegado André David
$17,519 Vol.
43%
André Moura
$6,454 Vol.
35%
Rogerio Carvalho
$3,385 Vol.
15%
Iran Barbosa
$411 Vol.
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
$510 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Amorim
$1,389 Vol.
3%
Delegado Alessandro
$680 Vol.
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$269 Vol.
1%
Edvaldo
$359 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$385 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$405 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volumen
$31,765Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$31,765Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes