Recent polling from late August and early September has positioned Luciano Zucco (PL) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote for Rio Grande do Sul governor, with support consolidating among right-leaning voters amid national political polarization. Zucco holds a lead over Juliana Brizola (PDT), whose left-leaning ticket draws backing tied to federal alignments, while vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the continuity candidate for the term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite. The latest surveys show Zucco ahead by several points, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability. Lower-polling names like Marcelo Maranata register minimal support, reflecting limited momentum in the multi-candidate field ahead of a potential runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Luciano Zucco 53%
Juliana Brizola 38%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,147 Vol.
$102,147 Vol.
3 oct 2026
Luciano Zucco
53%
Juliana Brizola
38%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Gabriel Souza
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 53%
Juliana Brizola 38%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,147 Vol.
$102,147 Vol.
3 oct 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,572 Vol.
53%
Juliana Brizola
$35,183 Vol.
38%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 Vol.
1%
Gabriel Souza
$10,276 Vol.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September has positioned Luciano Zucco (PL) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote for Rio Grande do Sul governor, with support consolidating among right-leaning voters amid national political polarization. Zucco holds a lead over Juliana Brizola (PDT), whose left-leaning ticket draws backing tied to federal alignments, while vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the continuity candidate for the term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite. The latest surveys show Zucco ahead by several points, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability. Lower-polling names like Marcelo Maranata register minimal support, reflecting limited momentum in the multi-candidate field ahead of a potential runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$102,147Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September has positioned Luciano Zucco (PL) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote for Rio Grande do Sul governor, with support consolidating among right-leaning voters amid national political polarization. Zucco holds a lead over Juliana Brizola (PDT), whose left-leaning ticket draws backing tied to federal alignments, while vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the continuity candidate for the term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite. The latest surveys show Zucco ahead by several points, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability. Lower-polling names like Marcelo Maranata register minimal support, reflecting limited momentum in the multi-candidate field ahead of a potential runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$102,147Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September has positioned Luciano Zucco (PL) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote for Rio Grande do Sul governor, with support consolidating among right-leaning voters amid national political polarization. Zucco holds a lead over Juliana Brizola (PDT), whose left-leaning ticket draws backing tied to federal alignments, while vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the continuity candidate for the term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite. The latest surveys show Zucco ahead by several points, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability. Lower-polling names like Marcelo Maranata register minimal support, reflecting limited momentum in the multi-candidate field ahead of a potential runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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