Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a stable majority in the House of Commons following multiple by-election victories, including sweeps on August 31, 2026, that reinforced its position amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date election remains scheduled for October 2029, with no confidence votes, supply defeats, or public signals of an early dissolution. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre, trail in recent polling and lack leverage to force a snap contest. Trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by mid-2026, reflecting the absence of immediate political triggers and the government’s demonstrated ability to maintain parliamentary support through floor-crossings and special elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$94,751 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
7%
$94,751 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$3,094 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a stable majority in the House of Commons following multiple by-election victories, including sweeps on August 31, 2026, that reinforced its position amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date election remains scheduled for October 2029, with no confidence votes, supply defeats, or public signals of an early dissolution. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre, trail in recent polling and lack leverage to force a snap contest. Trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by mid-2026, reflecting the absence of immediate political triggers and the government’s demonstrated ability to maintain parliamentary support through floor-crossings and special elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volumen
$94,751Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a stable majority in the House of Commons following multiple by-election victories, including sweeps on August 31, 2026, that reinforced its position amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date election remains scheduled for October 2029, with no confidence votes, supply defeats, or public signals of an early dissolution. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre, trail in recent polling and lack leverage to force a snap contest. Trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by mid-2026, reflecting the absence of immediate political triggers and the government’s demonstrated ability to maintain parliamentary support through floor-crossings and special elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$94,751Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a stable majority in the House of Commons following multiple by-election victories, including sweeps on August 31, 2026, that reinforced its position amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date election remains scheduled for October 2029, with no confidence votes, supply defeats, or public signals of an early dissolution. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre, trail in recent polling and lack leverage to force a snap contest. Trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by mid-2026, reflecting the absence of immediate political triggers and the government’s demonstrated ability to maintain parliamentary support through floor-crossings and special elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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