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icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Donald Martel 47%

Jérôme Gagnon 35%

Guillaume Langlois 19%

Sophie Martinbeault 2.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Donald Martel 47%

Jérôme Gagnon 35%

Guillaume Langlois 19%

Sophie Martinbeault 2.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$3,128 Vol.

47%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$51 Vol.

35%

icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$55 Vol.

19%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$678 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight odds in Nicolet-Bécancour reflect a competitive three-way contest heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Incumbent CAQ MNA and Agriculture Minister Donald Martel seeks a fifth term, citing local infrastructure gains and economic projects in the riding. Parti Québécois nominee Jérôme Gagnon, who secured his party’s nomination in May, and Conservative Party candidate Guillaume Langlois, confirmed in June, have drawn support in recent projections showing PQ and PCQ narrowly ahead of CAQ. Liberal Sophie Martinbeault trails further back. Provincial shifts away from the CAQ government, combined with the riding’s boundary adjustments and the short campaign window after the August 27 writ, sustain the close implied probabilities among the leading contenders. Upcoming candidate nominations closing September 17 and final polling trends could still alter the balance.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$3,913
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight odds in Nicolet-Bécancour reflect a competitive three-way contest heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Incumbent CAQ MNA and Agriculture Minister Donald Martel seeks a fifth term, citing local infrastructure gains and economic projects in the riding. Parti Québécois nominee Jérôme Gagnon, who secured his party’s nomination in May, and Conservative Party candidate Guillaume Langlois, confirmed in June, have drawn support in recent projections showing PQ and PCQ narrowly ahead of CAQ. Liberal Sophie Martinbeault trails further back. Provincial shifts away from the CAQ government, combined with the riding’s boundary adjustments and the short campaign window after the August 27 writ, sustain the close implied probabilities among the leading contenders. Upcoming candidate nominations closing September 17 and final polling trends could still alter the balance.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$3,913
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Donald Martel" con 47%, seguido de "Jérôme Gagnon" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es "Donald Martel" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jérôme Gagnon" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.