Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29-30% ahead of the October 5 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 24% in the latest surveys, narrowing the gap with the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22%. This momentum for the CAQ, driven by gains among francophone voters outside Montreal and regional strength in the Quebec City area, underpins trader consensus on its position for second place. Key campaign issues including cost of living, U.S. trade concerns, and the PQ's referendum plans have kept the contest volatile, with the Liberals retaining strength in urban anglophone and allophone ridings but losing ground overall. Seat projections indicate a fragmented National Assembly, where CAQ vote efficiency could secure second place despite trailing in the popular vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCAQ 63%
PLQ 20%
PQ 18%
PVQ <1%
$17,022 Vol.
$17,022 Vol.
4 oct 2026
CAQ
63%
PLQ
20%
PQ
18%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 63%
PLQ 20%
PQ 18%
PVQ <1%
$17,022 Vol.
$17,022 Vol.
4 oct 2026
CAQ
$4,615 Vol.
63%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
20%
PQ
$4,112 Vol.
18%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29-30% ahead of the October 5 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 24% in the latest surveys, narrowing the gap with the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22%. This momentum for the CAQ, driven by gains among francophone voters outside Montreal and regional strength in the Quebec City area, underpins trader consensus on its position for second place. Key campaign issues including cost of living, U.S. trade concerns, and the PQ's referendum plans have kept the contest volatile, with the Liberals retaining strength in urban anglophone and allophone ridings but losing ground overall. Seat projections indicate a fragmented National Assembly, where CAQ vote efficiency could secure second place despite trailing in the popular vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$17,022Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29-30% ahead of the October 5 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 24% in the latest surveys, narrowing the gap with the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22%. This momentum for the CAQ, driven by gains among francophone voters outside Montreal and regional strength in the Quebec City area, underpins trader consensus on its position for second place. Key campaign issues including cost of living, U.S. trade concerns, and the PQ's referendum plans have kept the contest volatile, with the Liberals retaining strength in urban anglophone and allophone ridings but losing ground overall. Seat projections indicate a fragmented National Assembly, where CAQ vote efficiency could secure second place despite trailing in the popular vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$17,022Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29-30% ahead of the October 5 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 24% in the latest surveys, narrowing the gap with the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22%. This momentum for the CAQ, driven by gains among francophone voters outside Montreal and regional strength in the Quebec City area, underpins trader consensus on its position for second place. Key campaign issues including cost of living, U.S. trade concerns, and the PQ's referendum plans have kept the contest volatile, with the Liberals retaining strength in urban anglophone and allophone ridings but losing ground overall. Seat projections indicate a fragmented National Assembly, where CAQ vote efficiency could secure second place despite trailing in the popular vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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