The Parti Québécois maintains its commanding position in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election race, driven by consistent polling leads near 29% and strong francophone support that translates into a projected majority of seats in most models. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show little movement in the final weeks of the campaign, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly to around 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette amid voter focus on the economy and U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back, while smaller parties including the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register limited gains. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote and seat projections, with the PQ favored to secure the most seats despite the likelihood of a minority outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 76%
CAQ 24%
PLQ 2.3%
PCQ <1%
$894,648 Vol.
$894,648 Vol.
4 oct 2026
PQ
76%
CAQ
24%
PLQ
2%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 76%
CAQ 24%
PLQ 2.3%
PCQ <1%
$894,648 Vol.
$894,648 Vol.
4 oct 2026
PQ
$121,531 Vol.
76%
CAQ
$137,544 Vol.
24%
PLQ
$123,963 Vol.
2%
PCQ
$247,565 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains its commanding position in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election race, driven by consistent polling leads near 29% and strong francophone support that translates into a projected majority of seats in most models. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show little movement in the final weeks of the campaign, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly to around 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette amid voter focus on the economy and U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back, while smaller parties including the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register limited gains. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote and seat projections, with the PQ favored to secure the most seats despite the likelihood of a minority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$894,648Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains its commanding position in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election race, driven by consistent polling leads near 29% and strong francophone support that translates into a projected majority of seats in most models. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show little movement in the final weeks of the campaign, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly to around 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette amid voter focus on the economy and U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back, while smaller parties including the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register limited gains. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote and seat projections, with the PQ favored to secure the most seats despite the likelihood of a minority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$894,648Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains its commanding position in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election race, driven by consistent polling leads near 29% and strong francophone support that translates into a projected majority of seats in most models. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show little movement in the final weeks of the campaign, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly to around 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette amid voter focus on the economy and U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back, while smaller parties including the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register limited gains. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote and seat projections, with the PQ favored to secure the most seats despite the likelihood of a minority outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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