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icon for Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz

icon for Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz

Alexandre Guimarães 59%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 8.1%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.4%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

Alexandre Guimarães 59%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 8.1%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.4%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$13,917 Vol.

59%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$2,842 Vol.

31%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$1,282 Vol.

8%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$4,410 Vol.

3%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$386 Vol.

3%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$418 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$489 Vol.

1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$284 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,761
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,761
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

77%
icon for Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

53%
Ja
icon for Wird Carlos Bolsonaro bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Santa Catarina die zweitmeisten Stimmen bekommen?

Wird Carlos Bolsonaro bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Santa Catarina die zweitmeisten Stimmen bekommen?

41%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alexandre Guimarães" mit 59%, gefolgt von „Gaguim" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 59¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $25.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz" ist „Alexandre Guimarães" mit 59%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Gaguim" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Tocantins Senatswahl: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.