Recent polling in Sergipe shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot on October 4, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura clustered near the front in surveys from late August and early September. High numbers of undecided voters and the requirement to select two names contribute to fluid preferences across party lines, including Republicanos, PT, and União Brasil alignments. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with the leading trio holding comparable implied probabilities while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking. Any late shifts in turnout among key regional bases or additional debate performances could widen gaps before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDelegado André David 37%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 2.7%
Eduardo Amorim 1.0%
$33,169 Vol.
$33,169 Vol.

Delegado André David
37%

Rogerio Carvalho
35%

Rodrigo Valadares
3%

Eduardo Amorim
1%

Iran Barbosa
1%

Paulinho da União Tur
1%

Delegado Alessandro
<1%

Edvaldo
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

André Moura
32%
Delegado André David 37%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 2.7%
Eduardo Amorim 1.0%
$33,169 Vol.
$33,169 Vol.

Delegado André David
37%

Rogerio Carvalho
35%

Rodrigo Valadares
3%

Eduardo Amorim
1%

Iran Barbosa
1%

Paulinho da União Tur
1%

Delegado Alessandro
<1%

Edvaldo
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

André Moura
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Sergipe shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot on October 4, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura clustered near the front in surveys from late August and early September. High numbers of undecided voters and the requirement to select two names contribute to fluid preferences across party lines, including Republicanos, PT, and União Brasil alignments. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with the leading trio holding comparable implied probabilities while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking. Any late shifts in turnout among key regional bases or additional debate performances could widen gaps before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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