In Brazil's 2026 Senate election for Paraná's two seats, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where Filipe Barros holds a marginal edge for second place amid polls showing technical ties among leading contenders. Recent surveys through September indicate Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Barros trading narrow leads depending on scenario and turnout assumptions, with undecided voters often exceeding 25-35%. This uncertainty stems from the state's proportional dynamics, shifting alliances across parties including PL, PT, Novo, and Republicanos, and limited name recognition for several candidates. Late campaign events, candidate positioning on key state issues, or shifts in first-preference votes could consolidate support and separate the field before October balloting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFilipe Barros 51%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Gleisi 15.1%
Deltan Dallagnol 13%
$35,402 Vol.
$35,402 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Filipe Barros
51%
Alexandre Curi
24%
Gleisi
17%
Deltan Dallagnol
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Filipe Barros 51%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Gleisi 15.1%
Deltan Dallagnol 13%
$35,402 Vol.
$35,402 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Filipe Barros
$12,118 Vol.
51%
Alexandre Curi
$5,609 Vol.
24%
Gleisi
$5,354 Vol.
17%
Deltan Dallagnol
$8,156 Vol.
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,651 Vol.
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$668 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's 2026 Senate election for Paraná's two seats, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where Filipe Barros holds a marginal edge for second place amid polls showing technical ties among leading contenders. Recent surveys through September indicate Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Barros trading narrow leads depending on scenario and turnout assumptions, with undecided voters often exceeding 25-35%. This uncertainty stems from the state's proportional dynamics, shifting alliances across parties including PL, PT, Novo, and Republicanos, and limited name recognition for several candidates. Late campaign events, candidate positioning on key state issues, or shifts in first-preference votes could consolidate support and separate the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$35,402Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's 2026 Senate election for Paraná's two seats, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where Filipe Barros holds a marginal edge for second place amid polls showing technical ties among leading contenders. Recent surveys through September indicate Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Barros trading narrow leads depending on scenario and turnout assumptions, with undecided voters often exceeding 25-35%. This uncertainty stems from the state's proportional dynamics, shifting alliances across parties including PL, PT, Novo, and Republicanos, and limited name recognition for several candidates. Late campaign events, candidate positioning on key state issues, or shifts in first-preference votes could consolidate support and separate the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$35,402Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's 2026 Senate election for Paraná's two seats, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where Filipe Barros holds a marginal edge for second place amid polls showing technical ties among leading contenders. Recent surveys through September indicate Alexandre Curi, Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Barros trading narrow leads depending on scenario and turnout assumptions, with undecided voters often exceeding 25-35%. This uncertainty stems from the state's proportional dynamics, shifting alliances across parties including PL, PT, Novo, and Republicanos, and limited name recognition for several candidates. Late campaign events, candidate positioning on key state issues, or shifts in first-preference votes could consolidate support and separate the field before October balloting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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