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Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí

icon for Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí

Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 98.6%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Gustavo Feijó <1%

Polymarket

$52,756 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles 98.6%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Gustavo Feijó <1%

Polymarket

$52,756 Vol.

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$44,884 Vol.

99%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$852 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026, first round, holds a dominant position in Piauí’s gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 56-73% of valid votes across multiple surveys from mid-2026 onward. High government approval ratings near 62-67%, progress on key pledges such as expanding full-time schools, and limited opposition traction—primarily from Joel Rodrigues (PP) hovering around 20-22%—underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming September debates and final campaign weeks represent the main remaining variables that could influence turnout or late shifts, though the scale of the margin leaves little realistic path for challengers absent unforeseen developments.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$52,756
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026, first round, holds a dominant position in Piauí’s gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 56-73% of valid votes across multiple surveys from mid-2026 onward. High government approval ratings near 62-67%, progress on key pledges such as expanding full-time schools, and limited opposition traction—primarily from Joel Rodrigues (PP) hovering around 20-22%—underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming September debates and final campaign weeks represent the main remaining variables that could influence turnout or late shifts, though the scale of the margin leaves little realistic path for challengers absent unforeseen developments.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$52,756
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rafael Fonteles" mit 99%, gefolgt von „Elizeu Aguiar" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $52.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ist „Rafael Fonteles" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Elizeu Aguiar" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.