Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 22%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0 %+ <1%
$61,931 Vol.
$61,931 Vol.
≤1.9%
22%
2.0-2.4%
79%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0-3,4 %
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0 %+
1%
2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 22%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0 %+ <1%
$61,931 Vol.
$61,931 Vol.
≤1.9%
22%
2.0-2.4%
79%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0-3,4 %
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0 %+
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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