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icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?

icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?

8-9 39%

6-7 24%

<6 19%

10-11 10%

Polymarket
NEU

8-9 39%

6-7 24%

<6 19%

10-11 10%

Polymarket
NEU

<6

$391 Vol.

19%

6-7

$236 Vol.

24%

8-9

$1,783 Vol.

39%

10-11

$286 Vol.

21%

12+

$395 Vol.

3%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) in August 2026, after prior fragmentation, has centered trader focus on Arab voter turnout and mobilization ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polling averages place the slate at 7–8 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9 amid competition from Ra’am and efforts by Likud to seek disqualifications. The tight spread across 6–11 seat outcomes in the market reflects uncertainty over whether the unified list can lift participation enough to exceed baseline projections or face headwinds from threshold risks and bloc dynamics. Surplus vote agreements and late campaign developments could still shift final allocations within the 3.25% threshold.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$3,091
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) in August 2026, after prior fragmentation, has centered trader focus on Arab voter turnout and mobilization ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polling averages place the slate at 7–8 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9 amid competition from Ra’am and efforts by Likud to seek disqualifications. The tight spread across 6–11 seat outcomes in the market reflects uncertainty over whether the unified list can lift participation enough to exceed baseline projections or face headwinds from threshold risks and bloc dynamics. Surplus vote agreements and late campaign developments could still shift final allocations within the 3.25% threshold.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$3,091
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Gemeinsam bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 11-13 Sitze gewinnen?

Wird Gemeinsam bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 11-13 Sitze gewinnen?

38%
Ja
icon for Wird die Gemeinsame Liste bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 6,5-7,5% der Stimmen erhalten?

Wird die Gemeinsame Liste bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 6,5-7,5% der Stimmen erhalten?

35%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 weniger als 8 Sitze gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 weniger als 8 Sitze gewinnen?

29%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „8-9" mit 39%, gefolgt von „6-7" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 39¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 4, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist „8-9" mit 39%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „6-7" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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