Yisrael Beiteinu maintains steady support in the low-to-mid single digits of the vote ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with recent polling averages placing the party near eight seats. Avigdor Lieberman has reinforced this positioning by unveiling a candidate slate emphasizing universal military or national service without exemptions, a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and explicit opposition to coalitions involving Netanyahu or Haredi parties. A surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party further aligns the lists to maximize combined representation. Recent security incidents, including a shooting attack, have prompted Lieberman to reiterate calls for strong deterrence measures, aligning with the party’s traditional security-focused base among Russian-speaking voters. These developments have kept probabilities centered on the 6-7% range, reflecting consistent poll results amid a fragmented field where no bloc has secured a clear majority path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert6-7 % 43%
5-6 % 23%
7-8 % 20%
<5 % 14%
<5 %
19%
5-6 %
23%
6-7 %
37%
7-8 %
18%
8 %+
12%
6-7 % 43%
5-6 % 23%
7-8 % 20%
<5 % 14%
<5 %
19%
5-6 %
23%
6-7 %
37%
7-8 %
18%
8 %+
12%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Yisrael Beiteinu maintains steady support in the low-to-mid single digits of the vote ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with recent polling averages placing the party near eight seats. Avigdor Lieberman has reinforced this positioning by unveiling a candidate slate emphasizing universal military or national service without exemptions, a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and explicit opposition to coalitions involving Netanyahu or Haredi parties. A surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party further aligns the lists to maximize combined representation. Recent security incidents, including a shooting attack, have prompted Lieberman to reiterate calls for strong deterrence measures, aligning with the party’s traditional security-focused base among Russian-speaking voters. These developments have kept probabilities centered on the 6-7% range, reflecting consistent poll results amid a fragmented field where no bloc has secured a clear majority path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen