Shas faces ongoing pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption dispute, which has prompted voter shifts toward parties like Otzma Yehudit and contributed to recent polling averages placing the party at roughly 7-10 Knesset seats in September surveys. Its campaign has emphasized appeals to traditional and military voters through candidate list adjustments and messaging, while internal leadership coordination with Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef seeks to stabilize support ahead of the October 27 election. These factors sustain tight probabilities across the 6-9% vote share range, with trader consensus reflecting poll variability and the potential for last-minute coalition dynamics or turnout shifts among Haredi and Sephardi communities to alter final allocation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<6% 29%
6-7 % 26%
7-8 % 23%
8-9 % 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<6%
33%
6-7 %
33%
7-8 %
22%
8-9 %
17%
9 %+
18%
<6% 29%
6-7 % 26%
7-8 % 23%
8-9 % 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<6%
$116 Vol.
33%
6-7 %
$147 Vol.
33%
7-8 %
$53 Vol.
22%
8-9 %
$20 Vol.
17%
9 %+
$76 Vol.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Shas faces ongoing pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption dispute, which has prompted voter shifts toward parties like Otzma Yehudit and contributed to recent polling averages placing the party at roughly 7-10 Knesset seats in September surveys. Its campaign has emphasized appeals to traditional and military voters through candidate list adjustments and messaging, while internal leadership coordination with Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef seeks to stabilize support ahead of the October 27 election. These factors sustain tight probabilities across the 6-9% vote share range, with trader consensus reflecting poll variability and the potential for last-minute coalition dynamics or turnout shifts among Haredi and Sephardi communities to alter final allocation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volumen
$412Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Shas faces ongoing pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption dispute, which has prompted voter shifts toward parties like Otzma Yehudit and contributed to recent polling averages placing the party at roughly 7-10 Knesset seats in September surveys. Its campaign has emphasized appeals to traditional and military voters through candidate list adjustments and messaging, while internal leadership coordination with Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef seeks to stabilize support ahead of the October 27 election. These factors sustain tight probabilities across the 6-9% vote share range, with trader consensus reflecting poll variability and the potential for last-minute coalition dynamics or turnout shifts among Haredi and Sephardi communities to alter final allocation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$412Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Shas faces ongoing pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption dispute, which has prompted voter shifts toward parties like Otzma Yehudit and contributed to recent polling averages placing the party at roughly 7-10 Knesset seats in September surveys. Its campaign has emphasized appeals to traditional and military voters through candidate list adjustments and messaging, while internal leadership coordination with Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef seeks to stabilize support ahead of the October 27 election. These factors sustain tight probabilities across the 6-9% vote share range, with trader consensus reflecting poll variability and the potential for last-minute coalition dynamics or turnout shifts among Haredi and Sephardi communities to alter final allocation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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