Forecast models from sources including China's meteorological agencies and international services converge on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on September 16, supported by persistent cloud cover, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and a 15-30% chance of brief showers that limit solar heating and suppress peak readings. This aligns with early-to-mid September climatology, where average highs hover around 28-29°C but drop under overcast or rainy conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for 27°C and 14% for 28°C, incorporates these near-term atmospheric factors and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine any last adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 16. September?
27°C 85%
28°C 15%
29°C 2%
31°C <1%
$40,092 Vol.
$40,092 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
85%
28°C
15%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 85%
28°C 15%
29°C 2%
31°C <1%
$40,092 Vol.
$40,092 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,311 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,687 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12,226 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,957 Vol.
85%
28°C
$4,425 Vol.
15%
29°C
$3,410 Vol.
2%
30°C
$2,556 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including China's meteorological agencies and international services converge on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on September 16, supported by persistent cloud cover, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and a 15-30% chance of brief showers that limit solar heating and suppress peak readings. This aligns with early-to-mid September climatology, where average highs hover around 28-29°C but drop under overcast or rainy conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for 27°C and 14% for 28°C, incorporates these near-term atmospheric factors and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$40,092Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including China's meteorological agencies and international services converge on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on September 16, supported by persistent cloud cover, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and a 15-30% chance of brief showers that limit solar heating and suppress peak readings. This aligns with early-to-mid September climatology, where average highs hover around 28-29°C but drop under overcast or rainy conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for 27°C and 14% for 28°C, incorporates these near-term atmospheric factors and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,092Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including China's meteorological agencies and international services converge on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on September 16, supported by persistent cloud cover, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and a 15-30% chance of brief showers that limit solar heating and suppress peak readings. This aligns with early-to-mid September climatology, where average highs hover around 28-29°C but drop under overcast or rainy conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for 27°C and 14% for 28°C, incorporates these near-term atmospheric factors and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine any last adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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