Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 16. September?
32°C 100%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$46,238 Vol.
$46,238 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$46,238 Vol.
$46,238 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$387 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$814 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,392 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$1,830 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$5,307 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$10,447 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$11,903 Vol.
Ja
33°C
$10,255 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$3,155 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$507 Vol.
Nein
36°C oder höher
$241 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$46,238Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46,238Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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