Persistent heat across North Texas, with above-average temperatures and clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus toward a 98-99°F high for Dallas on September 15. Official National Weather Service observations at DFW Airport recorded a maximum of 101°F that afternoon, consistent with an ongoing September heat wave that produced multiple triple-digit days and set monthly records for 100°F occurrences. Model guidance and climatological baselines indicated limited cooling potential given southeasterly flow and minimal moisture. A realistic challenge to the leading bin would require a late-day measurement revision from the primary station or an unforecasted mesoscale feature that capped the peak below 100°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 15. September?
98-99°F 100%
91°F oder niedriger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$75,649 Vol.
$75,649 Vol.
91°F oder niedriger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
98-99°F 100%
91°F oder niedriger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$75,649 Vol.
$75,649 Vol.
91°F oder niedriger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent heat across North Texas, with above-average temperatures and clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus toward a 98-99°F high for Dallas on September 15. Official National Weather Service observations at DFW Airport recorded a maximum of 101°F that afternoon, consistent with an ongoing September heat wave that produced multiple triple-digit days and set monthly records for 100°F occurrences. Model guidance and climatological baselines indicated limited cooling potential given southeasterly flow and minimal moisture. A realistic challenge to the leading bin would require a late-day measurement revision from the primary station or an unforecasted mesoscale feature that capped the peak below 100°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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