Traders have converged on 31°C as the certain outcome for Beijing’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, 2026, reflecting real-time official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models showing a peak near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon readings are projected to reach 30–31°C after a morning low around 19°C, consistent with the current warm spell exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.3°C. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter readings, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty based on verified observational data. A modest shift in measured peak—due to microclimate variation at the official station or late-day cooling—remains the only realistic scenario that could reopen lower or higher bins before final confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 16. September?
31°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,218 Vol.
$57,218 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Ja
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
31°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,218 Vol.
$57,218 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$2,727 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$5,276 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$8,037 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$14,276 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$9,468 Vol.
Ja
32°C
$10,115 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$4,188 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$1,584 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$721 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$287 Vol.
Nein
37°C oder höher
$537 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the certain outcome for Beijing’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, 2026, reflecting real-time official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models showing a peak near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon readings are projected to reach 30–31°C after a morning low around 19°C, consistent with the current warm spell exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.3°C. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter readings, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty based on verified observational data. A modest shift in measured peak—due to microclimate variation at the official station or late-day cooling—remains the only realistic scenario that could reopen lower or higher bins before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$57,218Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the certain outcome for Beijing’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, 2026, reflecting real-time official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models showing a peak near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon readings are projected to reach 30–31°C after a morning low around 19°C, consistent with the current warm spell exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.3°C. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter readings, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty based on verified observational data. A modest shift in measured peak—due to microclimate variation at the official station or late-day cooling—remains the only realistic scenario that could reopen lower or higher bins before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$57,218Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on 31°C as the certain outcome for Beijing’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, 2026, reflecting real-time official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models showing a peak near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon readings are projected to reach 30–31°C after a morning low around 19°C, consistent with the current warm spell exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.3°C. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter readings, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty based on verified observational data. A modest shift in measured peak—due to microclimate variation at the official station or late-day cooling—remains the only realistic scenario that could reopen lower or higher bins before final confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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