The arrival of a cooler air mass from the north, combined with widespread rainfall, has driven the market's near-certain consensus on a 21°C daily high in Wuhan for September 17. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional models consistently project maximum temperatures of 20–22°C under overcast, rainy conditions, with surface cooling from evaporative effects and reduced solar heating. This represents a sharp 8–10°C drop from prior days' readings near 30–32°C. Trader positioning reflects alignment with these verified model runs and observational trends rather than historical September averages around 28–30°C. Late-day clearing or localized model underestimation of insolation remain the only realistic paths to a higher outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 17. September?
21°C 100.0%
20°C oder niedriger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$123,905 Vol.
$123,905 Vol.
20°C oder niedriger
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
20°C oder niedriger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$123,905 Vol.
$123,905 Vol.
20°C oder niedriger
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The arrival of a cooler air mass from the north, combined with widespread rainfall, has driven the market's near-certain consensus on a 21°C daily high in Wuhan for September 17. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional models consistently project maximum temperatures of 20–22°C under overcast, rainy conditions, with surface cooling from evaporative effects and reduced solar heating. This represents a sharp 8–10°C drop from prior days' readings near 30–32°C. Trader positioning reflects alignment with these verified model runs and observational trends rather than historical September averages around 28–30°C. Late-day clearing or localized model underestimation of insolation remain the only realistic paths to a higher outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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