Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a high near 20°C for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date. Early-morning observations around 12–13°C and steady pressure near 1019 hPa support gradual daytime warming without strong advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings notably higher. Trader consensus, with 20°C at 50.5% implied probability and 21°C at 35.5%, reflects this central tendency while pricing in modest upside from any model run showing slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud cover. Lower outcomes like 19°C hold only 8.5% as cooler scenarios appear less likely given current guidance. Updated afternoon observations and final model consensus will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 17. September?
20°C 51%
21°C 36%
19°C 9%
22°C 5%
$24,623 Vol.
$24,623 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
51%
21°C
36%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 51%
21°C 36%
19°C 9%
22°C 5%
$24,623 Vol.
$24,623 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
51%
21°C
36%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a high near 20°C for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date. Early-morning observations around 12–13°C and steady pressure near 1019 hPa support gradual daytime warming without strong advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings notably higher. Trader consensus, with 20°C at 50.5% implied probability and 21°C at 35.5%, reflects this central tendency while pricing in modest upside from any model run showing slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud cover. Lower outcomes like 19°C hold only 8.5% as cooler scenarios appear less likely given current guidance. Updated afternoon observations and final model consensus will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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