Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and DWD, show a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on September 19 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime warming above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 19–20°C, while overnight lows near 10–11°C limit further accumulation. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability reflects tight model agreement on peak values, tempered by typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 19. September?
22°C 44%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 27%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
27%
22°C
44%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 44%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 27%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$62 Vol.
44%
23°C
$1 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and DWD, show a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on September 19 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime warming above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 19–20°C, while overnight lows near 10–11°C limit further accumulation. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability reflects tight model agreement on peak values, tempered by typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$63Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and DWD, show a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on September 19 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime warming above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 19–20°C, while overnight lows near 10–11°C limit further accumulation. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability reflects tight model agreement on peak values, tempered by typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and DWD, show a consensus maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on September 19 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime warming above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 19–20°C, while overnight lows near 10–11°C limit further accumulation. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability reflects tight model agreement on peak values, tempered by typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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