Traders have converged on a 26°C daily maximum for Chongqing on September 19 because multiple forecast models and early observational data align on this value as the peak under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate humidity near 80%. Late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin typically features highs around 27°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including northerly flow and increased cloud cover have suppressed further warming. Official monitoring networks record temperatures climbing to the mid-20s by afternoon before cooling, supporting the market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 26°C would require sustained clearer skies allowing greater insolation or a revised station reading outside the expected range, though current model consensus and real-time trends make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 19. September?
26°C 100%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,950 Vol.
$46,950 Vol.
23°C oder niedriger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,950 Vol.
$46,950 Vol.
23°C oder niedriger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on a 26°C daily maximum for Chongqing on September 19 because multiple forecast models and early observational data align on this value as the peak under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate humidity near 80%. Late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin typically features highs around 27°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including northerly flow and increased cloud cover have suppressed further warming. Official monitoring networks record temperatures climbing to the mid-20s by afternoon before cooling, supporting the market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 26°C would require sustained clearer skies allowing greater insolation or a revised station reading outside the expected range, though current model consensus and real-time trends make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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