Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 10. September?
34°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Ja
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder mehr
Nein
34°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$500 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$215 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$555 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$726 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,099 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$9,973 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$21,003 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$5,599 Vol.
Ja
35°C
$2,104 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$608 Vol.
Nein
37°C oder mehr
$217 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$42,600Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,600Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from the Lucknow airport station recorded a daily maximum of 34.5°C on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 34°C outcome and supporting the 100% implied probability. Regional IMD data and model consensus showed typical late-monsoon conditions with highs near seasonal norms around 33–35°C, limited daytime heating from cloud cover and scattered showers, and no significant heatwave development. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a definition shift to a different Lucknow location, though such adjustments remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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