**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on September 14, 2026, centers on 32°C (50%) and 33°C (33.5%), reflecting official IMD forecasts of a maximum around 33°C amid monsoon conditions.** India Meteorological Department outlooks for Lucknow stations indicate a high of 33°C with partly cloudy skies, thundery development, and one or two spells of rain or thundershowers. This aligns with broader IMD guidance for widespread rainfall and thunderstorms across northwest and central India through mid-September, driven by active monsoon systems and a low-pressure area influencing the region. High humidity (often 70-85%) and cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms despite the late-monsoon timing. Recent observations on September 13 showed highs of 32-34°C with light rain or drizzle, supporting continuity into the next day. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns favor limited intensification, positioning 32-33°C as the most probable range while assigning low odds to 34°C or higher due to expected precipitation cooling effects. Upcoming IMD updates and hourly observations on September 14 will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 14. September?
32°C 55%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 6%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
55%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C oder höher
1%
32°C 55%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 6%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
55%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on September 14, 2026, centers on 32°C (50%) and 33°C (33.5%), reflecting official IMD forecasts of a maximum around 33°C amid monsoon conditions.** India Meteorological Department outlooks for Lucknow stations indicate a high of 33°C with partly cloudy skies, thundery development, and one or two spells of rain or thundershowers. This aligns with broader IMD guidance for widespread rainfall and thunderstorms across northwest and central India through mid-September, driven by active monsoon systems and a low-pressure area influencing the region. High humidity (often 70-85%) and cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms despite the late-monsoon timing. Recent observations on September 13 showed highs of 32-34°C with light rain or drizzle, supporting continuity into the next day. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns favor limited intensification, positioning 32-33°C as the most probable range while assigning low odds to 34°C or higher due to expected precipitation cooling effects. Upcoming IMD updates and hourly observations on September 14 will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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