The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. September?
29°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 Vol.
$68,942 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 Vol.
$68,942 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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