Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 13. September?
25°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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