**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 12. September?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F oder niedriger <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
69°F oder niedriger
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77 °F
Nein
78-79°F
Ja
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88°F oder höher
Nein
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F oder niedriger <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
69°F oder niedriger
$214 Vol.
Nein
70-71°F
$374 Vol.
Nein
72-73°F
$731 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$3,512 Vol.
Nein
76-77 °F
$11,606 Vol.
Nein
78-79°F
$12,575 Vol.
Ja
80-81°F
$8,577 Vol.
Nein
82-83°F
$5,285 Vol.
Nein
84-85°F
$754 Vol.
Nein
86-87°F
$322 Vol.
Nein
88°F oder höher
$477 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$44,427Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$44,427Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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