OpenAI’s recent launch of its managed Agents API on September 10 has reinforced trader consensus around its strong positioning in agentic systems, with Codex handling extended workflows and parallel subagents across enterprise use cases. This builds on demonstrated gains in long-horizon tasks and benchmark leadership for models like GPT-6 Astra, outpacing peers amid competitive releases from Anthropic’s Claude updates and Google’s ADK and Dream-RSI techniques. A September 21 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and SpaceXAI to slow development introduces regulatory uncertainty that could affect near-term timelines. Market-implied odds reflect these execution edges and infrastructure advantages, though product roadmaps and safety evaluations remain fluid through October.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI 80%
Anthropic 16%
SpaceXAI 2.6%
Google 2.0%
$45,585 Vol.
$45,585 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
80%
Anthropic
16%
SpaceXAI
3%
2%
Moonshot
1%
Amazon
1%
Z.ai
1%
MiniMax
1%
Baidu
1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meta
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 80%
Anthropic 16%
SpaceXAI 2.6%
Google 2.0%
$45,585 Vol.
$45,585 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$15,526 Vol.
80%
Anthropic
$9,000 Vol.
16%
SpaceXAI
$1,065 Vol.
3%
$2,076 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$8,107 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$866 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$798 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$977 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$839 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$849 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$910 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$767 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$473 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$911 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$616 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$825 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$578 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of its managed Agents API on September 10 has reinforced trader consensus around its strong positioning in agentic systems, with Codex handling extended workflows and parallel subagents across enterprise use cases. This builds on demonstrated gains in long-horizon tasks and benchmark leadership for models like GPT-6 Astra, outpacing peers amid competitive releases from Anthropic’s Claude updates and Google’s ADK and Dream-RSI techniques. A September 21 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and SpaceXAI to slow development introduces regulatory uncertainty that could affect near-term timelines. Market-implied odds reflect these execution edges and infrastructure advantages, though product roadmaps and safety evaluations remain fluid through October.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$45,585শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of its managed Agents API on September 10 has reinforced trader consensus around its strong positioning in agentic systems, with Codex handling extended workflows and parallel subagents across enterprise use cases. This builds on demonstrated gains in long-horizon tasks and benchmark leadership for models like GPT-6 Astra, outpacing peers amid competitive releases from Anthropic’s Claude updates and Google’s ADK and Dream-RSI techniques. A September 21 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and SpaceXAI to slow development introduces regulatory uncertainty that could affect near-term timelines. Market-implied odds reflect these execution edges and infrastructure advantages, though product roadmaps and safety evaluations remain fluid through October.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$45,585শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent launch of its managed Agents API on September 10 has reinforced trader consensus around its strong positioning in agentic systems, with Codex handling extended workflows and parallel subagents across enterprise use cases. This builds on demonstrated gains in long-horizon tasks and benchmark leadership for models like GPT-6 Astra, outpacing peers amid competitive releases from Anthropic’s Claude updates and Google’s ADK and Dream-RSI techniques. A September 21 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and SpaceXAI to slow development introduces regulatory uncertainty that could affect near-term timelines. Market-implied odds reflect these execution edges and infrastructure advantages, though product roadmaps and safety evaluations remain fluid through October.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা