Meta’s Watermelon, the internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, remains in training as of early September 2026. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang reported in July that the model, trained with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, had reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks. August reporting pointed to an October target, potentially tied to the consumer AI agent Hatch and Meta’s broader push to close gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through scaled infrastructure spending. On September 3, Wang described Watermelon as “on track” and “very competitive” without confirming a date. Traders are watching for public benchmark verification, any timeline slippage, or integration into Meta’s platforms as the key near-term signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$12,441 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
5%
October 31
74%
November 30
93%
$12,441 Vol.
September 30
$3,394 Vol.
5%
October 31
$6,384 Vol.
74%
November 30
$2,663 Vol.
93%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Watermelon, the internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, remains in training as of early September 2026. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang reported in July that the model, trained with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, had reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks. August reporting pointed to an October target, potentially tied to the consumer AI agent Hatch and Meta’s broader push to close gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through scaled infrastructure spending. On September 3, Wang described Watermelon as “on track” and “very competitive” without confirming a date. Traders are watching for public benchmark verification, any timeline slippage, or integration into Meta’s platforms as the key near-term signals.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,441শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Watermelon, the internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, remains in training as of early September 2026. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang reported in July that the model, trained with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, had reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks. August reporting pointed to an October target, potentially tied to the consumer AI agent Hatch and Meta’s broader push to close gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through scaled infrastructure spending. On September 3, Wang described Watermelon as “on track” and “very competitive” without confirming a date. Traders are watching for public benchmark verification, any timeline slippage, or integration into Meta’s platforms as the key near-term signals.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$12,441শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Watermelon, the internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, remains in training as of early September 2026. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang reported in July that the model, trained with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, had reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks. August reporting pointed to an October target, potentially tied to the consumer AI agent Hatch and Meta’s broader push to close gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through scaled infrastructure spending. On September 3, Wang described Watermelon as “on track” and “very competitive” without confirming a date. Traders are watching for public benchmark verification, any timeline slippage, or integration into Meta’s platforms as the key near-term signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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