The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMoonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
OpenAI 9%
Z.ai 7.0%
$24,044 Vol.
$24,044 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
41%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
9%
Z.ai
7%
7%
Microsoft
4%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
OpenAI 9%
Z.ai 7.0%
$24,044 Vol.
$24,044 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
$10,352 Vol.
41%
SpaceXAI
$2,304 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$6,005 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$454 Vol.
7%
$295 Vol.
7%
Microsoft
$257 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$669 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$1,067 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$342 Vol.
1%
Meta
$234 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$229 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$189 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$206 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$234 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$229 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$24,044শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$24,044শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা