Trader consensus around a September 22–24 release for the next Claude Opus model reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 update this week or by month-end, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 release of Fable 5.1. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—driven by competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google—supports the tight clustering of probabilities, with traders weighing unconfirmed leaker timelines against the absence of official announcements or benchmark leaks. The 17.5% chance of no release by September 30 highlights uncertainty over internal testing, safety reviews, and enterprise rollout timing, while recent life-sciences program expansions using existing Opus 5 models show no immediate signals of a new version.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 22 21%
September 23 21%
September 24 20%
No release by September 30 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
<1%
September 18
<1%
September 19
1%
September 20
<1%
September 21
1%
September 22
21%
September 23
21%
September 24
20%
September 25
13%
September 26
1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
4%
September 29
11%
September 30
8%
No release by September 30
18%
September 22 21%
September 23 21%
September 24 20%
No release by September 30 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
$545 Vol.
<1%
September 18
$106 Vol.
<1%
September 19
$553 Vol.
1%
September 20
$574 Vol.
<1%
September 21
$96 Vol.
1%
September 22
$339 Vol.
21%
September 23
$312 Vol.
21%
September 24
$672 Vol.
20%
September 25
$132 Vol.
13%
September 26
$553 Vol.
1%
September 27
$553 Vol.
<1%
September 28
$114 Vol.
4%
September 29
$488 Vol.
11%
September 30
$216 Vol.
8%
No release by September 30
$286 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus around a September 22–24 release for the next Claude Opus model reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 update this week or by month-end, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 release of Fable 5.1. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—driven by competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google—supports the tight clustering of probabilities, with traders weighing unconfirmed leaker timelines against the absence of official announcements or benchmark leaks. The 17.5% chance of no release by September 30 highlights uncertainty over internal testing, safety reviews, and enterprise rollout timing, while recent life-sciences program expansions using existing Opus 5 models show no immediate signals of a new version.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,691শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus around a September 22–24 release for the next Claude Opus model reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 update this week or by month-end, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 release of Fable 5.1. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—driven by competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google—supports the tight clustering of probabilities, with traders weighing unconfirmed leaker timelines against the absence of official announcements or benchmark leaks. The 17.5% chance of no release by September 30 highlights uncertainty over internal testing, safety reviews, and enterprise rollout timing, while recent life-sciences program expansions using existing Opus 5 models show no immediate signals of a new version.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$5,691শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a September 22–24 release for the next Claude Opus model reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 update this week or by month-end, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 release of Fable 5.1. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—driven by competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google—supports the tight clustering of probabilities, with traders weighing unconfirmed leaker timelines against the absence of official announcements or benchmark leaks. The 17.5% chance of no release by September 30 highlights uncertainty over internal testing, safety reviews, and enterprise rollout timing, while recent life-sciences program expansions using existing Opus 5 models show no immediate signals of a new version.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা